Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.511271 0.593057 0.683049 0.789327 0.911319 1.046881 1.208863
2025-05-04 0.384837 0.498182 0.636258 0.816392 1.044737 1.324075 1.691247
2025-05-11 0.309246 0.433437 0.596231 0.824293 1.134490 1.540523 2.111047
2025-05-18 0.255166 0.381866 0.558255 0.820177 1.197409 1.718915 2.492049
2025-05-25 0.213728 0.338788 0.522308 0.808992 1.242864 1.871599 2.847605
2025-06-01 0.183156 0.305786 0.494465 0.802899 1.290782 2.027971 3.219899
2025-06-08 0.154541 0.270831 0.457830 0.776684 1.302095 2.127168 3.512032
2025-06-15 0.145513 0.266181 0.467918 0.824893 1.434558 2.424671 4.141530
2025-06-22 0.125036 0.238735 0.436340 0.799123 1.441069 2.518786 4.448405
2025-06-29 0.108127 0.215061 0.407896 0.774515 1.445365 2.607393 4.751614
2025-07-06 0.094614 0.195670 0.384423 0.755391 1.456090 2.706190 5.079315
2025-07-13 0.087401 0.187371 0.380231 0.770991 1.530812 2.923399 5.636173
2025-07-20 0.083729 0.185916 0.389365 0.813967 1.663165 3.260637 6.451079
2025-07-27 0.078161 0.179803 0.388677 0.837737 1.761487 3.544936 7.196282
2025-08-03 0.071669 0.170727 0.380739 0.845606 1.828609 3.775254 7.858337
2025-08-10 0.064894 0.159992 0.367878 0.841376 1.869973 3.957941 8.441768
2025-08-17 0.058347 0.148804 0.352584 0.829913 1.894516 4.108381 8.972798
2025-08-24 0.052954 0.139547 0.340376 0.823670 1.929232 4.282137 9.566792
2025-08-31 0.046791 0.127476 0.320196 0.796806 1.915284 4.351779 9.946125
2025-09-07 0.046048 0.129017 0.332165 0.846207 2.078618 4.816095 11.218197
2025-09-14 0.040914 0.118351 0.313362 0.819800 2.063725 4.888186 11.632078
2025-09-21 0.036427 0.108732 0.295923 0.794583 2.048727 4.958117 12.046465
2025-09-28 0.032712 0.100678 0.281430 0.774986 2.045068 5.053152 12.526166